Note: I originally wrote this article for the General Aviation Council of Hawaii Spring 2014 newsletter. While this seasonal outlook was from last spring, the typical impacts during El Niño remain consistent. Hopefully you will still find it interesting and useful. –JB
The spring 2014 forecast [view the latest forecast] from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center indicates that there is a greater than 50 percent chance that El Niño conditions will develop during the summer of 2014, and continue into the winter of 2014-2015. What is El Niño and what does it mean for weather in Hawaii?